The Croatian national team is on the brink of qualifying for the Euros, but they need a point to secure their place. If Wales draws with Turkey, Croatia will earn that point and qualify. However, if Turkey wins, they will also qualify. This match is not just about placement in the qualifications; it also determines the draw for the final tournament. The outcome of this game could determine the path of Zlatko Dalić’s chosen team to a great result.
There are three more unknowns before Thursday’s draw for additional qualifications regarding direct travelers to Germany. Uefa ranks national teams according to their performance in the qualifications, and there are some strong teams that could have an impact on Croatia’s chances of making it to Germany. If the qualifications ended today, Croatia would be in the third-strong group, which includes Scotland and Slovakia, as well as possibly Netherlands and Serbia. However, they cannot play against Hungary or Austria because they are already in the second group.
Turkey and Denmark are also in this group, along with Albania and Romania. If Croatia beats Armenia, they will replace Turkey in this group if Wales loses to them. The Turks will beat the Welsh if both teams lose to Armenia. It seems that a place in the third round could be more favorable for Croatia than in the second round at first glance, but this may not be entirely true.
The weakest strong group will consist of three national teams placed through play-offs that will not be known until after Thursday’s draw (the matches are at the end of March). As well as these three runners-up with poor performance so far, Slovenia is one of them too